Look before you leap (into investing)

The rundown

  • Buying shares has the potential to increase your wealth, income, or both overtime. However, as with all types of investments, there are risks. So where do investors like you start? What research should you do, and how do you do this? How do you invest so that it aligns with your investment risk profile?
  • Your investment strategy can help you define whether you are seeking capital growth, income, or both. Risk management may help define your strategy and shape your decisions whether investing domestically, internationally or both.
  • Once you know what you’re looking for, market research can assist narrowing down your stock selection.
  • Research should help you make an informed investment decision, possibly helping you avoid costly mistakes and investing in the right companies for your goals.

What is market research?

Market research usually begins with understanding the broader market context, both domestic or internationally to inform your short, medium and long-term outlook. This includes consideration of what interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, economic growth, investor sentiment, government policy and global events are heading. These macro settings can help shape your view of which sectors or investment themes to explore.

You may wish to start by deciding on a sector, then the local or international market and the type of asset you wish to invest in. Direct investment in company shares or the use of ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) or a listed investment company (LIC), will also impact your investment decision.

 While there are many things you can consider, here are a few key areas to consider:

  • The outlook for the sector of interest,
  • Who the established companies are, or emerging companies in the sector,
  • How the current financial performance indicators are performing. Consider revenue streams and income stability, key expenses and debt levels, growth outlook, dividend history, and share price performance history.

These lenses should reduce your search universe into a smaller list or opportunity set that you can apply to search filters. Then, you may deep dive into annual reports, company alerts, research reports and even comparing companies in the same industry. Let’s explore these in more depth below.

 

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Company information sources

A company's annual report and the annual results presentations are publicly available documents. You could look for them on the ASX website or the company website. These documents include the financial results, and usually summarise an internal review of how things went, and their view to how things could develop in the future. Did they make a profit? Are profits and or expenses growing? You can gauge if the business outlook is aligned with your investment goals and objectives, and whether their outlook aligns with your understanding of the macro environment. Are there long-term trends shaping the sector, such as technological innovation, demographic shifts or energy transition? You could also look at previous years’ reports to see whether they delivered on what they promised, which can show a proven track record.

 

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Company alerts

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) rules require certain information to be released to the market. This includes, but is not limited to, financial results, takeovers, appointments and instances where senior leaders buy or sell shares, changes in major shareholders, or if a company is added or removed from an index. These are significant disclosures that can impact the company, how it’s viewed, and therefore, its share price.

 

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Independent research reports

Independent research reports (reports) could help validate your thinking or highlight other risks or opportunities for you to consider, for example:

  • Strengths and weaknesses,
  • Competitive advantages,
  • Whether the company has something unique, like strong branding, patents, or market share, that sets it apart,
  • The business model: How does the company make money? Is revenue diversified or reliant on one product or market?
  • Challenges: Are there risks such as regulatory changes, supply chain issues, or heavy reliance on a single product or customer?

Reports may be provided by your broker, or you can choose to pay for a subscription from a research house. Reports can provide the researcher’s opinion of the company, and may include a buy, hold or sell recommendation. These insights can help you understand if a company is well positioned within its industry.

 

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Comparing companies in the same industry

Comparing companies within a sector can highlight differences in valuation, profitability, or risk. Useful measures may include:

  • Dividend yield: The historical dividend over the current share price.
  • Earnings per share: The net profit over the current share price.
  • Price to earnings ratio: The current share price over the earnings.
  • Debt levels: Debts over assets.

These measures could uncover an opportunity or market perception that may help you with a decision to buy. The numbers often tell a story, for example, do the valuations make sense compared with peers? While past performance isn’t a guarantee of future returns, it can still provide a useful perspective.

You might then look at qualitative factors such as the leadership team, how long have they been in place (for example, across several economic cycles), and whether they are delivering on their stated promises and strategies. Also consider how the share price has performed over the past one, three and five years.

These are just some research options that could help you evaluate your investment choices. Understanding risk doesn’t mean avoiding it, it means deciding whether it fits your risk tolerance and goals. Researching can help you feel more confident about your investment decisions, whether to choose to buy, hold, or sell. Investing isn’t about predicting the future perfectly; it’s about making informed choices based on information aligned to your personal goals. You could start with these steps, keep learning, and remember investing is a journey, not a race.

 

Tip: 

It might help to document or capture your research. This can help when you are reviewing a past purchase to see if anything has changed, or if you are considering buying more or selling. Research should support more informed decision-making. You may want to consider other topics such as, liquidity, timing the market, charting and diversification or asset allocation.

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The Academy is intended to provide general information of an educational nature only. Any securities or prices used in the examples given are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Investing carries risk.

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The information on this page has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to their objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

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